{"id":2018,"date":"2026-01-29T21:14:47","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T21:14:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vujic-geopolitika.com\/?p=2018"},"modified":"2026-01-29T21:14:47","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T21:14:47","slug":"armada-izmedju-irana-i-dijego-garsije","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vujic-geopolitika.com\/en\/2026\/01\/29\/armada-between-iran-and-diego-garcia\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cArmada\u201d between Iran and Diego Garcia"},"content":{"rendered":"

The world oil market “can’t stand it” after all: as of tonight (29.1.26) the news appeared that the Iranian Navy is planning joint naval manoeuvres with China and Russia these days, in the waters of the Oman Sea and the Indian Ocean. (https:\/\/ina.iq\/en\/international\/45136-iranian-maneuvers-with-china-and-russia-in-the-sea-of-oman-and-the-indian-ocean.html<\/a>), reportedly including live firing exercises in the Strait of Hormuz area from “next Sunday and Monday”. All that, at a time when the US naval “armada” led by the USS Abraham Lincoln<\/em>, a super mighty nuclear aircraft carrier, is sailing through the Indian Ocean, as things stand now, in the direction of the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

The US fleet “is ready, willing and able to quickly fulfil its mission, quickly and violently, if necessary”, US President Donald Trump said on the occasion (https:\/\/www.france24.com\/en\/middle-east\/20260129-warships-fighter-jets-what-is-massive-us-armada-on-way-to-iran<\/a>)<\/p>\n

Is an American attack on Iran on the horizon, and then Tehran’s response?<\/p>\n

Global petro-traders are today losing their composure in the face of such geopolitical conundrums : the barrel of Brent barrel is experiencing a new price increase ($70.90), i.e., the highest value since last June. At the same time, the light Texas oil WTI goes for $65.56 (close to the value at the end of last September) (https:\/\/www.rnz.co.nz\/news\/business\/585440\/oil-prices-surge-4-percent-to-five-month-high-on-worries-us-could-take-action-against-iran<\/a>). About 20 percent of the oil intended for the global market passes through the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian barrels are of strategic importance for China: speculations about what could happen in the case of armed confrontations, mess up the accounts of all those who trade in “black gold”.<\/p>\n

Despite all the rising tensions, the American leader, as well as the Iranian side, each in their own way emphasize the possibility of an eventual dialogue…( https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/cly5pd459gko<\/a>)<\/p>\n

; (https:\/\/www.news18.com\/world\/iran-says-open-to-talks-with-us-if-negotiations-genuine-amid-trumps-renewed-threats-ws-kl-9862529.html<\/a>)<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

A question could be asked here: what happens if, in something similar to the “last moment”, the two sides come to an understanding that … Muscat, the capital of Oman, seems quite decent for “That contact”?<\/p>\n

All other aspects aside, oil traders might be able to relax… if only for a moment. In that, at this hour, seemingly improbable scenario (let’s not forget how much the US president believes in his role as a global peacemaker)\u2014what could be the next sailing plan of the “armada”…?<\/p>\n

The Indian Ocean – the third largest in the world \u2013 for the “armada” might seem quite far from home. But the US base on Diego Garcia (on the photo) is not. Perhaps it might not be surprising that Great Britain and the US, on Wednesday, January 28, reportedly renewed talks about the future of the Chagos Archipelago\u2014where Diego Garcia’s base is located, after US President Donald Trump last week called London’s intention to return the archipelago under the sovereignty of Mauritius “a great stupidity “. (https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/world\/uk-reopens-chagos-islands-talks-us-following-trump-criticism-deal-reports<\/a>)<\/p>\n

World oil traders, and leading buyers of barrels from the direction of the Strait of Hormuz, on the open seas of the Indian Ocean, are probably to witness new equations with more unknowns.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The world oil market “can’t stand it” after all: as of tonight (29.1.26) the news appeared that the Iranian Navy is planning joint naval manoeuvres with China and Russia these days, in the waters of the Oman Sea and the Indian Ocean. (https:\/\/ina.iq\/en\/international\/45136-iranian-maneuvers-with-china-and-russia-in-the-sea-of-oman-and-the-indian-ocean.html), reportedly including live firing exercises in the Strait of Hormuz area from […]\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2019,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[108],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2018","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-global-oil-and-gas-new-hunting-season"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vujic-geopolitika.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2018","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vujic-geopolitika.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vujic-geopolitika.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vujic-geopolitika.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vujic-geopolitika.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2018"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.vujic-geopolitika.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2018\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2021,"href":"https:\/\/www.vujic-geopolitika.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2018\/revisions\/2021"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vujic-geopolitika.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2019"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vujic-geopolitika.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2018"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vujic-geopolitika.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2018"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vujic-geopolitika.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2018"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}